"It's not just but because we're still determining on a day to day basis how bad the circumstances we face will be. The longer we fail to take better action, the worse it's going to be for us. Our first goal has to be mitigation and then adaptation too."

The newly-launched Sentinel-5A extends our atmospheric measurement to aid in the .

Top Story in the Arctic this week!

Scientists have measured that the rate of Arctic sea ice melting has slowed to almost nothing in the last 20 years, due to natural ocean climate variations.
Any celebration is tempered by the acceleration of ice melting by 2035

China burns record coal levels in H1 2025, challenging green energy goals and global climate targets. Renewable investments struggle against fossil fuel dependency.

28.08.2025 - 20:00 Uhr
Chart des deutschen Strommix ber die letzten 6 Stunden.

"The collapse of a critical Atlantic current can no longer be considered a low-likelihood event, a study has concluded, making deep cuts to fossil fuel emissions even more urgent to avoid the catastrophic impact."

"The research found that if carbon emissions continued to rise, 70% of the model runs led to collapse, while an intermediate level of emissions resulted in collapse in 37% of the models. Even in the case of low future emissions, an Amoc shutdown happened in 25% of the models."

Interactive visualization of different global scenarios of AMOC slowdown/shutdown

According to latest data the AMOC slowdown/shutdown is expected till 2050 with 59% probability.
I expect that much earlier. 10 years are really optimistic methinks. Let's see, what the effects will look like.

So, yes, this is from MSN -- however, it drives in the point about a lot of stuff from the updated projections.

Slide 4 seems to echo the quotes from Cline's 1177BC regarding resource extraction (tin) and the .

"4. Resource extraction costs skyrocket as materials become exhausted.

"The era of cheap, easily extracted natural resources is ending as mining operations move to increasingly remote locations, tap lower-grade ores, and require more energy-intensive processes to extract the materials that support industrial civilization. This fundamental shift in resource economics creates inflationary pressures that compound across every sector of the economy, making previously profitable activities uneconomical and forcing societies to choose between maintaining current consumption levels and investing in future sustainability.

"Energy return on investment ratios for fossil fuel extraction have declined steadily over decades, requiring more energy input to extract each unit of usable fuel while alternative energy sources struggle to match the energy density and scalability of conventional -based systems. The transition costs between energy systems create economic bottlenecks that can trigger the kind of systemic failures that characterize , particularly when resource constraints coincide with other stresses like , political instability, and demographic transitions."

Chile breaks ground on massive wind farm to transform power grid, aiming for 3.5 GW capacity by 2027. Clean, renewable energy for 300,000 homes.

Just an observation, but does it not seem like climate change predictions are concertinaing every year That is, the predictions are revised so that critical points happen sooner. I wonder if anyone has done a statistical analysis of the predictions over the last 20 years and extrapolated I wonder what the trend would be. And the resulting forecast

I started the following hashtag during Mango's first term:

, , , disbanding , ignoring ... it's the only explanation I've come up with that explains away every disastrous decision.

I wrote much of the text for the following graphic nearly 20 years ago during the Administration.

Updated 07:41 AM PDT , August 28,2025: ATHENS, Greece (AP) that has driven scorching temperatures and dwindling rainfall made massive wildfires in Turkey, Greece and Cyprus this summer burn much more fiercely,
the study by World Weather Attribution said the fires that killed 20 people, forced 80,000 to evacuate and burned more than 1 million hectares (2.47 million acres) were 22% more intense in 2025, Europes worst recorded year of wildfires.

Young Germans more optimistic about energy transition than other age groups survey

It all comes down to and action -

It all comes down to and action -

Collapse of critical Atlantic current is no longer low likelihood, study finds. Via guardian

More from 1177BC...

"There are only a few instances in history of such globalized world systems the one in place during the Late Bronze age and the one in place today are two of the most obvious examples, and the parallels -- comparisons might be a better world -- between them are sometimes intriguing.

"To give just one illustration, Carol Bell, a British academician, has observed that 'the strategic importance of tin in the LBA Late Bronze Age ... was probably not far different from that of crude oil today. At that time, tin is thought to have been available in quantity only from specific mines in the Badakhshan region of Afghanistan and had to be brought overland all the way to sites in Mesopotamia (modern Iraq) and north Syria, from where it was distrbuted to points father north, south, or west, including onward across the sea to the Agean. Bell contianues, 'The availability of enough tin to produce ... weapons grade bronze must have exercised the minds of the Great King in Hattusa and the Pharaoh in Thebes the same way that supplying gasoline to the American SUV driver a reasonable cost preoccupies an American president today!"
- Eric Cline, "1177BC, The Year Civilization Collapsed," Preface to the revised edition, page xvii.

Wildfires are reversing Canada's progress on improving air quality

Air pollution 'is like the zombie that we thought we had killed,' says expert

"According to Joseph Tainter, who literally wrote the book on the collapse of complex societies, 'collapse is fundamentally a sudden, pronounced loss of an established level of sociopolitical complexity.' That was exactly what happened back in 1177 BC."

- Eric Cline, "1177BC, The Year Civilization Collapsed," Preface to the revised edition, page xvii.

Short-term climate impacts permanently change waterway supply chains report

Collapse of critical Atlantic current is no longer low likelihood, study findsScientists say shocking discovery shows rapid cuts in carbon emissions are needed to avoid catastrophic fallout

Thread So, the book is back in the news after the projections were updated. I've been doing a lot of reading and thinking about this topic (the preface of the book 1177BC, The Year Civilization Collapsed being the impetus).

My conclusion is that only and implementation of a lot of ideas (repairing stuff, building community, rewilding) will help us adapt to the coming changes. That's why I started SPS -- to highlight events, ideas and to build connections.

Yes, I am known for "Doomposting," but like with most things, I try and find solutions as well. Yeah, all the BS isn't helping -- in fact, it's a symptom of the desperation of the elites to hold onto their , , ways. And, well, we all know where that leads.

We may not be able to fix the climate or all the other things that are going wrong right away, but we can try to adapt, and make sure by doing so, we aren't making the problems worse for all the beings that live here on planet Earth.

I'll be posting some quotes in this thread -- some with commentary, some just by themselves. Do humans have all the answers Not sure (I know I don't)... But sticking our collective heads in the sand is NOT an option!

"Winners and losers in a hotter ocean"

The American Meteorological Society's formal response to "foundationally flawed" DOE mis/disinformation report on is excellent & timely. Frankly, I have been more impressed w/ametsoc.org's ability to effectively meet the moment this year than other scientific professional societies.

The collapse of a critical Atlantic current can no longer be considered a low-likelihood event, a study has concluded, making deep cuts to fossil fuel emissions even more urgent to avoid the catastrophic impact.

The tipping point that makes an Amoc shutdown inevitable is likely to be passed within a few decades.

"These are neither isolated nor "natural" phenomena. They are expressions of a system in combustion, accelerated by induced by our order & aggravated by -use policies subordinated to accumulation, & ."

Red flag flying (no entering the sea) due to rough conditions on the Costa Del Sol in Aug. Dont see that often!

Neighborhood cooling techniques

(10/10)

-> enjeux enseignement

- Ukraine : naissance de (cf 2025).

Future What future

When Zack Polanski launched his leadership bid for the of England and Wales on a platform of eco-populism, I felt hopeful about politics for the first time in a while. His project is positioned against the far right and billionaires, but does it really have the power to win the rhetorical war over the future

Eco-populism focuses on economic policy that is simultaneously beneficial for working people and the climate. One programme in Pennsylvania, the USA, is a good example of what eco-populism could look like in practice: low- and moderate-income homeowners can get money from the state to install things like heat pumps and solar panels.

Despite the potential benefits, there are some people who are unsure about the chances that Polanski's eco-populism might have to succeed. The word populism, for example, has been associated with the right for decades now, and using the same term for a left-wing project could be used to create a false equivalency between the left and the right by the mainstream.

You can find out more about the pros and cons of eco-populism, and whether it can really challenge far-right narratives, by reading the full article .

Looming summits must deliver a pathway to fairer mineral extraction

In Brazils Amazonian state of Par, families live in fragile wooden homes beside potholed dirt tracks, just metres from deep copper mines that have multiplied in the scramble to supply the global energy transition.Its a future that never arrives, one miner explained a bitter refrain in a region promised prosperity by the clean energy boom

Marine-climate interventions have received increased money and attention in recent years.

While many projects and ideas may be well-intentioned, theyre generally not subject to strong governance or oversight, and they often pose risks of social and ecological harm, according to a new paper.

The authors call for local, national and global rules that will make interventions safe, equitable and effective.

by Edward Carver

New publication: Light and temperature as triggers for surface filamentous green in shallow systems.

This (& many other reasons) is why catastrophic climate disasters will exact huge tolls, increasing every year until we stop pumping CO2 into the air and people... that's going to be a long time (we're in fact still increasing the amount of emissions).

And not just property values will get "harmed"

Intensified Legal, Political, and Grassroots Battles Over Amazon Oil Inter Press Service

A report has warned that Colombias push to expand oil and gas exploration in the risks undermining environmental goals, Indigenous rights, and long-term economic stability, unless the government pivots toward sustainable development pathways...

"Summer 2025 will almost certainly be UKs warmest on record, Met Office says"