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Global economy could face 50% loss in GDP between 2070 and 2090 from climate shocks, say actuaries Today's post is a collection of links that support my increasingly strong feeling that the human race (or at least our technological civilization) is doomed. It includes articles about the effects of disinformation on Facebook, how saltwater is contaminating coastal freshwater, plans for warfare in space, and more. , , , , , Such optimists I plan my future from the premise that we will be there already in the 2040s ... BTW the link says growth but the title is correct ie. GDP Climate Change Find small things that give you perseverance.
Climate: Facing the New Reality and Fighting Back Sustainable practices.
Which ones do you currently do
Other = write in comments. Looking backwards This is the first in a two-parter. At this time of year, posts making bold statements about what happened last year and what we plan to do this year start to become prominent. The last few years I have spent a few hours in the first week of January reviewing what worked, what was fun and what was cool, what was awful and what definitely was a waste of time. Im not honestly sure that any of this is of interest to anyone except me, so read on, but you have been warned.. 2024: Themes of this year: Greenland, Machine Learning, people, and big data I visited the worlds largest island 3 times this year a rather unprecedented number of times for me, with to continue and then to establish a new snow observation site. View from Qaanaaq at evening in early April 2024. In late May and early June, , we made it to bring in the instruments before the sea ice break-up and happily my new snow observations seem to be working. Now I just need to do set-up the data processing chain, which will be Working with scientists from the Greenland natural resources institute and local hunters on the sea ice. The final trip was in October for a workshop with scientists in Greenland about climate change impacts in Greenland, the subpolar gyre and AMOC for the UN Ocean decade. It was a memorable meeting for the sheer range and quality of science presented as well as for being stranded in Nuuk by a broken aeroplane in quite ridiculously beautiful weather (I mostly stayed in my hotel room to write the aforementioned paper, sadly. In 2025 I will work on my priorities) . Apart from fieldwork I have really tried hard on publications this year. I have (like many scientists I suspect), far more data sitting around on hard drives than I have published. Its a waste and its also fun to work on actual data instead of endless emails. This is something I intend to continue focusing on the next few years as well. There is gold in them thar computers We had a couple of writing retreats were very successful. These I plan to continue also and the PRECISE project grant is happily flexible enough to do this. I probably achieve as much in terms of data processing and paper writing in 3 focused days as I would in 3 months in the office. It paid off too. I managed to co-author (including my first 1st-author paper in ages a workshop report, but nevertheless it counts.). Some of these are still preprints, so will change, and there are a couple more that have been submitted but are not yet available as preprints. I will submit two more papers in the next 3 weeks as well (1 first author), so January 2025 is going to be the 13th month of 2024 in my mind. Bootcamps have been a theme the last 3 years, I organised the first in 2022 and so far there have been . There was another this year in June, ( I have attended them in 2023 and 2024 but was not organising) where we really got going on a project for ESA that I have had my eye on for a while I hope the publication from that will be ready in the Spring this coming year. Machine Learning: This was the year I really got machine learning. Ive been following a graduate course online, and learning from my colleagues and students about implementations. I understand a lot more about the architecture and how to in practice apply neural networks and other techniques like random forests now. This is not before time, as we intend to implement these to contribute to CMIP7 and the next IPCC report. We still have a lot of work to do, but the foundation is laid. And its been fun to learn something that, if not exactly new, is a new application of something. In fact the biggest barrier has really been learning new terminology. We have also been fortunate that to test much of these new models out on. Were actually running out of resources a bit though, so its time to start investigating Lumi, Leonardo and the new Danish centre Gefion to see what we can get out of these. People: This year our research group has grown with another 2 PhD students, and at the end of the year we also employed a new post-doc. I think its large enough now. Im very aware that if I dont do my job properly, then not only the research but the people will suffer, so developing people management skills is really important. In any case its extremely stimulating to work with such talented young people and Im really excited to see where the science will take us, given the skills in the team. I hope I have been good enough at managing such a large and young team, but I have my doubts. A focus for 2025 for sure. Data: This has been the year of big data, not necessarily just for ML purposes but also in the PolarRES project the production and management of an enormous set of future climate projections at very high resolution. More on this anon. Suffice to say, it has taken a lot of my time and mental energy and its probably not the most exciting thing to talk about, but we now have 800 Tb of climate simulation data to dig into. I suspect that rewards of this will be coming for years. There has also been a lot of digging into satellite datasets and the bringing together of the two has been very rewarding already. Its a rich seam, to continue the metaphor, that will be producing scientific gold for many years. Projects: we have gone in the final year of two projects, PROTECT and PolarRES, both of which will finally end in 2025. We also arrived at the half way point of OCEAN:ICE. So rather than being a year of starts, it has been a year where we have started to prepare for endings actually this is a fun part of many projects where a lot of the grunt work is out the way and we can start to see what we have actually found out. It can also be a slog of confusing data, writing and editing papers and dealing with h co-author comments. Ive definitely been in that process this year, hopefully with some of the outputs to come next year Proposals: I started 2024 writing a proposal. Colleagues were in 3 different consortia for the same call, alas ours didnt get funded, but 2 of the others did and will start this year. That is a good result for DMI and our group. I wrote another proposal in the Autumn and contributed to a 4th and finally at the end of the year I heard that both will *likely* be funded (but are currently embargoed and in negotiation, so no more will be said now). It sometimes feels that spending so much time and energy on proposal writing is putting the cart before the horse, but in fact I find proposal writing something akin to brainstorming. Its essential of course to ensure we can continue to do the science we want, but it can also help us to clarify our ideas and make sure were not on the wrong track. Its also a good way to keep track of what the funders are actually wanting to know and to help us focus on policy relevance. There was also an incredible number of meetings, reports, milestones and deliverables, but you probably dont want to hear about that Also missing from this summary is personal life, and, well that is not for sharing publically, but suffice to say, I learnt about raising teenagers, I also had some very good times with friends and family, to all of whom I immensely grateful for being a part of my voyages around the sun. Anyway, reading all that back, Im not surprised I ended the year exhausted! I am not planning on quite such a slog in future. I should probably pace myself a bit more this year, the plans for which will be the subject of next weeks post. #climateChange #DMI #fieldwork #Greenland #GreenlandIceSheet #Science Temperatures Rising: NASA Confirms 2024 Warmest Year on Record
Hello, hello, is anyone listening... More , as only one example, are the triggering of ecological feedbacks that is causing more CO2 to enter the atmosphere. As the effects of cause more ecological crises for humanity, that should be the 'wakeup call' for any ethically reasoned person to want to take part in mitigation Or am l over estimating humanities general sense E.g., how biased, greenwashed, greedy, habituated, are "they" ( lobbyists aside as they're biased crooked liars) That's end of human civilization data. Briloner Eisenberg Waldsterben
Am Freitag, dem 05. Februar 2021 ist das Waldsterben un
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Tiny marine animals could help fight climate change. Heres how. a true god would keep her and lose that evil sexoffender trump do not watch the inauguration of this crook stop using psycho's X is what we need indeed LA Needs Rain Lil Kim Responds to Monsoon Criticism, Defends Comment Amid LA Wildfires: Lil Kim has responded to those criticising her for praying for a monsoon during the Los Angeles fires. As reported, the Queen Bee was stung on social media after voicing her hope for a monsoon which many pointed out can have disastrous effects. However, Kim doubled down on her stance and attempted to contextualize About the consequences of frequent flying:
La trave e la pagliuzza: le vere cause di incendi e alluvioni La trave e la pagliuzza: le vere cause di incendi e alluvioni Climate, Peace, and Fragility in Egypt: Shaping a Path Forward 427ppm.... annual CO2 average in 2024 After rereading the Guardian article and checking observed data, I'm not sure Guardian gets it right. There will be an increase compared to 2023 that is far too high again. But the average value given for 2024 in Mauna Loa most recent data set is 424.6, which is in fact 3.53 ppm higher than in 2023. But 427ppm average would be sth different. Comment rduire lempreinte cologique du numrique Cdurable.info
De la sobrit responsable l'approche rgnrative du service numrique, lempreinte environnementale du numrique, dj leve, continue de crotre de faon exponentielle, menaant autant le climat et la biodiversit que les efforts de transition cologique.
As the battle against the deadly fires in Los Angeles county enters its 10th day, officials are warning evacuees against returning to their homes due to the presence of toxic, hazardous waste and exposed power and gas lines. How long will it be before people can return and what are the longer term effects on water, and the wider environment Its 2025 now what #extinction #rebellion #xr #rebelforlife #climate #climatechange What will our grandkids inherit Its time for a wake-up call! Discover the impact were leaving behind and why it's crucial to take action for a better future. Global warming target is a delusion, warns climate scientist who fled LA Planetary Solvency finding our balance with nature , Global Risks Report 2025 , 9 Local Story Ideas From the 2024 Lancet Countdown Report on Climate Change and Health: Climate change is often framed as a global crisis, but its impacts are local. Journalists can inform their audiences by localizing climate change stories, making abstract climate data more tangible. The post 9 Local Story Ideas From the 2024 Lancet Countdown Report on Climate Change and Health appeared first on The Good goodmenproject U.S. Government Publishes Updated Emissions Projections , Also people living within 5km of the GPO and running cars
The net-zero manufacturing industry landscape across Member State , 17.01.2025 - 08:00 Uhr
Chart des deutschen Strommix ber die letzten 6 Stunden.
Discouraging. We need to do better much better.
Mapped: Water Violations by State - Planet-warming gas levels rose more than ever in 2024
How Much of the Worlds Plastic Waste Actually Gets Recycled Visualizing Californias Drought Conditions (20002025) Excerpt from THE FLOODSfilm: Rod Coovermusic/sound: Adam Vidiksispoetry: Nick Montfort An increase in hot, dry weather has caused up to 60% increase in the annual average area burnt in western North America Top climate podcast relaunches ahead of critical year Planet-warming gas levels rose more than ever in 2024 Levels of the most significant planet-warming gas in our atmosphere rose more quickly than ever previously recorded last year, scientists say, leaving a key global climate target hanging by a thread. Concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) are now more than 50% higher than before humans started burning large amounts of fossil fuels. Last year, fossil fuel emissions were at record highs, while the natural world struggled to absorb as much CO2 due to factors including wildfires and drought, so more accumulated in the atmosphere.
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