Are we about to see a decline in carbon emissions this year With the IPCC urging for peak emissions by 2025, focus shifts to China as experts predict potential improvements amid economic shifts and renewable energy adoption.

Links for 2/2/25

Climate change increased the likelihood of wildfire disaster in highly exposed Los Angeles area 

An archeological revolution transforms our image of human freedoms Aeon Essays

Domenic Priore on The Rise of Counterculture in West Hollywood (video)

Truckin From ACS to X Caliber

How to lose your home In a changi

Come ridurre la distruzione del nostro mondo naturale (sostenibilit e clima) con l'open source. Ora qui in Belgio a Bruxellesal FOSDEM

Could the UK actually get colder with global warming

Of all the possible futures, theres a scenario where the UK & north-west buck the trend of global warming & instead face plunging temperatures & .

Its not the most likely outcome, but a number of scientists fear the chance of it happening is growing, & that the consequences would be so great that it deserves proper consideration

We are all footing the insurance bill for climate-fueled disasters: Susan Atkinson

Waarom onze overheden Covid-19 laten rondgaan, niets doen tegen de klimaatcrisis - behalve rechten inperken en surveillancestaat verder optuigen-, waarom ze ophitsen tegen migranten en mensen met uitkeringen, en waarom ze genocide steunen: Necropolitiek

Duidelijke introductie door John the Duncan:

agro-industriels via /

reportage :

From Germany to Belgium, how climate change allows winemaking further north in Europe

Popular saying here

"We're not going to win the war with those guys"

No, with us there will be no war and there were no crazy billionaires

Ich kann mir das Ausma dessen, was da grade passiert, noch gar nicht vorstellen. Wenn es keine ffentliche Frderung mehr gibt, wird dort an den Unis keine Forschung mehr in den Bereichen gemacht, ergo es wird auch nichts mehr ber und in den gngigen Journals/Fachzeitschriften zu lesen sein. Will man dann hierzulande ber diese Themen schreiben, kann man also nicht mehr auf Publikationen aus den USA zurckgreifen. Weil es entweder keine aktuellen Publikationen mehr gibt oder wenn, die dann nicht mehr der Realitt entsprechen, weil sie mit der politischen Agenda bereinstimmen mssen.
Was das in den Wissenschaften auslst, ist krass.
Mir ist schlecht, ich muss mal kurz brechen gehen.

I wrote a longer post on my experience of climate anxiety over the past 20 years (I recently tried threading this but it didn't work - apologies):

All the maps with the .

Under the Drill Baby President the EPA has already removed all references to the climate change from their websites.

Can someone replace the mobile phone in his hand with a drill, please

Vliegverkeer niet schadelijk voor de natuur: hoe komen adviesbureaus daarbij
Een ecologisch adviesbureau zag geen significant negatieve effecten van lage vluchten boven de Veluwe. Ondertussen kleurt de van het beschermde vuurrood. Hoe kan dat Onderzoeksjournalist Esme Koeleman zoekt het uit in de nieuwe OneWorld-podcast Natuurcensuur. Luister nu naar aflevering 3.

Happy !

Today, lets celebrate the central role of in our lives!

They increase resilience to , support , filter water & contribute to .

Preserving & restoring wetlands is essential to limit severe flooding from heavy rainfall.

Kelp Farming Isnt As Green As It Seems

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02.02.2025 - 08:00 Uhr
Chart des deutschen Strommix ber die letzten 6 Stunden.

Agreed. (Thanks for sharing) Although we'll have to consider that our () time is running out due to the already escalating .
Multisystemchanges needs to happen urgently and better NOW than any next day.

That will be our main problem.

California Wildfires Worsened By Climate Change Impact

The Fractal Bloat

A single data center can use several millions of gallons of water per day to cool the servers, which they do because it's cheaper to cool servers in the desert with water than to use traditional air conditioning elsewhere. We have bloated data centers cluttering the desert with data at the expense of some people's drinking water and everyone's privacy

native forest is still logged

Tall trees in Victoria are rare because only 1% of its old-growth eucalyptus regnans forest is left after years of logging encouraged by successive state governments

we STILL dont have adequate environment protection law

California Wildfires Worsened By Climate Change Impact

1 dead, thousands urged to evacuate as Australia's northeast battles floods

Whats driving north Queenslands deadly, record-breaking floods

HT
What saw on Feb. 1, 2025, three decades ago

by Russell Contreras

Science fiction writer Octavia Butler wrote in her 1993 novel "" that Feb. 1, 2025, would be a time of , , , , , social and an authoritarian "."

That day is today.

The big picture: This Black History Month, which begins this year on a day of Butler's dystopian vision, Axios will examine what the next 25 years may hold for Black Americans based on the progress in the first quarter of this century.

Through her fiction, Butler foresaw U.S. society's direction and the potential for civil societies to collapse thanks to the weight of economic disparities and climate change with blueprints for hope.
writers today interpret Butler's work as metaphorical warnings that appear to be coming true and a call to action.

State of play: This year, the month-long celebration of Black American accomplishments and perseverance will be commemorated amid uncertainty after the Trump administration ordered government agencies to end DEI policies.

The move is confusing some agencies on whether Black history can even be acknowledged this year while the nation deals with rising hate crimes, the aftermath of California wildfires, a fentanyl epidemic and a new president who blames the country's ills on workforce diversity.
Meanwhile, states like Alabama have passed bills limiting the discussion of race and Black history in public schools.

Zoom in: In "Parable of the Sower," the novel's 15-year-old protagonist, Lauren Olamina, writes a simple journal entry: Saturday, February 1, 2025: "We had a fire today. People worry so much about fire."

What unfolds in the pages that follow is a dystopian world surrounding the gated, racially mixed, fictional community of Robledo, California.
A new drug forces addicts to set fires to communities, who then rob and rape victims. Unhoused people roam the streets and are forced to steal to survive. Hurricanes, fires and violence push Americans to flee north to Canada.
President Donner, like President Trump, promises to restore the country to its former glory.
Racially mixed couples, like Olamina's Black/Chicano family, are vulnerable to attacks, and her parents, both PhD holders, have limited job opportunities.

Yes, but: Black, white, Latino and Asian Americans fall in love despite the racism outside the walls.

They arm themselves and protect each other.
They share history and books in defiance of attempted erasure.

What they're saying: "She was trying to warn us of a possible future that she saw coming if we did not change," Jesse Holland, editor of the anthology, "Captain America: The Shield of Sam Wilson," tells Axios.

Roots of Resilience: Building Peace in an Era of Food and Climate Shocks

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Russia's Strategic Approach to Climate Change

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Up North: Confronting Arctic Insecurity Implications for the United States and NATO

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Climate Security, Great Power Competition, and Adversarial Geopolitics in North and West Africa

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shelves indefinitely policy that was worked out with the . Slow Clap

when the SEVEN DAY forecasts show this kind of widespread, sustained anomaly, it is truly disturbing

Has just occurred to me that natural disasters have shut down the first week of school in for 3 out of the past 6 years.

I wish it had done that even once during my school years in the 80s!! (Minus the disaster part)

South Burlington hires first-ever climate manager

Discovered on my desk just now. It is *way* too early to be seeing these little sweeties. Jumping spiders usually make their appearance here in June or July, not January-February!

We're expecting a cold snap tomorrow. I just don't have the heart to put this little cutie outside to freeze to death. So I carried it over to one of my plants. Hopefully it'll like it there.

Recent reading:

OUR FRAGILE MOMENT: HOW LESSONS FROM EARTH'S PAST CAN HELP US SURVIVE THE CLIMATE CRISIS, by , surveys paleoclimate: what's known about Earth's climate in geological history, what that tells us about climate's variability over time, and what lessons we might draw from it.

This book isn't as entrancing as Marcia Bjornerud's TIMEFULNESS -- Mann uses a zillion acronyms, and near the end of the book, the section on the Pleistocene gets a little plodding -- but both books tackle the grand sweep of Earth's climate history, which has had some remarkable twists & turns.

For example, the first appearance of plants produced a lot of oxygen, which destroyed atmospheric methane and greatly reduced the greenhouse effect, so the planet glaciated completely (or almost). Volcanoes drove up carbon dioxide, ending this icy episode. Temperature spiked at the Permian/Triassic boundary, and the asteroid that ended the Cretaceous drove cooling for a few decades, but the species die-off took millions of years to restore a carbon cycle.

The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) may be the closest analogue to modern warming, with a 9 degF increase over 10 000 years. Some climate doomers are worried about seabed methane vaporizing and driving a sudden increase in greenhouse-effect warming, but Mann points out that didn't seem to happen during the PETM, which had much more warming than we've seen so far and will see for a century or two.

But Mann also notes that "the picture is bad enough", discussing possible effects on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and the El NioSouthern Oscillation, and they could be widely disruptive to Europe and to the Asian monsoons.

Overall it's a grounded & sobering book, but it's not utterly depressing, and it's a good discussion from a directly-involved scientist.

9 min China continuing its long campaign of environmental disaster, a little bit later in this tiny little channel that I follow, they get into a discussion about the damming of the headwaters for the Brahmaputra.

The project I guess is chasing the hydroelectric power, but China is thrown as many (11) 20 dams across the headwaters for the Mekong, and thats led to a lot of water problems for Southeast Asia

02.02.2025 - 02:00 Uhr
Chart des deutschen Strommix ber die letzten 6 Stunden.

Climate Change: Can we reverse it

Beginning to think the reason why so many deny climate change science is because they base the end of winter on if a big rodent sees his shadow.